Premier League predictions for every single match
All 380 fixtures forecast with a confidence rating, a predicted scoreline and the reasoning behind it — then graded honestly against the result. Free, no signup, no paywall.
Most prediction sites never tell you when they're wrong
Anyone can post a tip. Almost nobody publishes a running scorecard of how those tips actually performed. Every forecast here is timestamped before kick-off, frozen, and then scored against reality — the misses included. That record is the product.
Confidence, not just a pick
Every prediction carries a probability. A 78% home win and a 41% coin-flip are very different things, and you can see which is which before you decide anything.
The full reasoning, shown
Twenty-six factors — expected goals, rest days, European midweek load, derby intensity, crowd, travel, weather against playing style, set-piece threat — each one visible with its weighting for every match.
A model that learns
Ratings update after every result using Bayesian weighting, so a fast start shifts a team without pretending two games settle a season.
Built and proven across a full World Cup
The engine ran live through all 104 matches of the 2026 World Cup, every prediction published before kick-off. It opened at 38% during the group-stage draw crisis and finished at 76% after nine evidence-based recalibrations. That same engine, retuned for English league football, now runs the Premier League.
Everything for every fixture
Predicted scorelines & probabilities
Home, draw and away probabilities plus the three most likely exact scorelines from a Poisson goal model, with the fair odds each implies.
Predicted line-ups on a pitch
Both teams laid out in their actual formation, position by position, with the bench alongside.
Form, referee and conditions
Last-five form, the appointed referee's strictness and cards record, and the forecast at kick-off — because wind and rain genuinely change how a possession side plays.
Live table and projections
The current standings with form, plus where the model projects every club finishes once all 380 fixtures are played out.
Premier League predictions by team
Match previews, form and forecasts for all twenty clubs in the 2026-27 season.
Premier League predictions — FAQ
How accurate are these Premier League predictions?
The model finished the 2026 World Cup at 76% direction accuracy across 104 graded matches — correctly calling the winner or the draw in roughly three of every four games. Every Premier League prediction is published before kick-off and graded against the result afterwards, misses included, so the running accuracy is always on show.
Are the predictions free?
Yes. All 380 fixtures, free, with no signup, no paywall and no premium tier.
How does the prediction model work?
It combines 26 factors — attack and defence ratings, expected goals, recent form, home advantage, rest days and fixture congestion, European midweek load, derby intensity, crowd strength, travel distance, weather against playing style, set-piece specialism and squad depth. Goals are modelled with a Poisson distribution, and ratings update after every result using Bayesian weighting.
What does the confidence percentage mean?
It's the model's estimated probability of that outcome. A 60% home win means it expects that result about six times in ten. Low confidence signals a genuinely close match rather than a weaker prediction — and those are the ones to be careful with.
Do you predict every Premier League match?
Yes — all 380 fixtures were predicted before the season began, each forecast frozen and then graded when the match is played.
Is this betting advice?
No. This is statistical modelling published for interest and analysis. Nothing here is advice, no outcome is guaranteed, and you should never bet money you can't afford to lose. If gambling is causing you harm, free confidential help is available at BeGambleAware or on the National Gambling Helpline, 0808 8020 133.